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What the picture shows

A green cartoon frog face with a wide grin is superimposed over a dark, gritty first-person shooter scene, holding a large cigarette and with a red cigarette pack and game scoreboard numbers visible. It is likely used to express a smug or ironic reaction about high in-game stats or a big win.

No measured meaning yet. Used 38 times in 2 channels this month; one is written once chat gives enough evidence.